Sunday, April 09, 2017

The Writing on the Wall




Duterte’s China gambit yet to pay dividends
JOEL ADRIANO IN ASIA TIMES 030642APRIL2017

Six months later, there is little indication that largesse, broken down to US$15 billion in investments and around US$9 billion in nearly interest-free concessional loans, has been disbursed or lifted the economy. Nor has Duterte’s bet that closer economic ties would mitigate bilateral strategic disputes, including in the South China Sea, paid off as China ramps up activities on disputed features close to the Philippine coastline.
http://www.atimes.com/article/dutertes-china-gambit-yet-pay-dividends/

Will America help the Philippines in Scarborough Shoal?
RICHARD HEYDARIAN IN MANILA BULLETIN 021400APRIL2017

...if and only if the Philippines puts up a fight and tries to prevent China from reclaiming the Scarborough Shoal can we expect potential intervention by America. Japan, which is extremely concerned about Chinese domination of the South China Sea, could also be involved in a hypothetical kinetic action scenario.
http://news.mb.com.ph/2017/04/02/will-america-help-the-philippines-in-scarborough-shoal/

The Taiwanese Dream Vs. China’s Reality
SHIHOKO GOTO IN THE GLOBALIST 030000APRIL2017

...Taiwan continues to be in a tough spot politically as well as economically precisely because of the One China policy... China is Taiwan’s single biggest trading partner, accounting for nearly 40% of Taiwan’s total exports... That makes Taiwan vulnerable to any retaliatory economic actions... it is hardly surprising that in campaigning for the presidency... Tsai vowed to decrease Taiwan’s economic dependence... Since assuming office in last May, however, Tsai has faced difficulties in meeting her campaign promises on the economic front.

MYANMAR: NLD Should Take By-election Results as a Wake-Up Call
EDITORIAL IN THE IRRAWADDY 040000APRIL2017

Many people stood behind the party hoping that their voices would not fall on deaf ears as they felt they had during the military regime. If their wishes continue to be ignored, it will be difficult for them to see a difference between the previous regime and the current government. People will not continue to support a government that ignores them.
https://www.irrawaddy.com/opinion/nld-take-election-results-wake-call.html

How would a President Moon Jae-in approach North Korea and China?
FRANCES KITT IN THE LOWY INTERPRETER 060606APRIL2017

In their turn, critics of the conservative approach point out that it has presided over a deterioration of the security environment and pushed North Korea to the status of de facto nuclear state. And in the meantime, the 2011 change in leadership in the North has made the task of engagement increasingly difficult. This highlights an important question; if Moon does push a pro-engagement policy with the North, will it be possible for him to gain traction with Kim Jong Un?

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