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| Mike Koozmin/Examiner |
But no one is declaring victory or presuming to know which way the rest of the votes will break. Department of Elections Director John Arntz said Wednesday that there are about 40,000 vote-by-mail ballots that were dropped off at polling stations left to count, which includes 22,356 in the Assembly race. There are also about 11,000 provisional ballots left to count in what is a low-turnout race. Estimates put turnout at about 51 percent. Arntz said he expected to finish counting vote by mail ballots by Saturday or Sunday.
"It's hard to tell what the numbers will be," Nate Albee, who ran Campos' campaign, said Wednesday afternoon. "We're waiting for the votes to be counted before we weigh in. We always knew this would be close."
David Latterman, principal of Fall Line Analytics, a political research firm, agreed that the race was too close to call and it was difficult to predict. Latterman said that during the June primary votes counted after Election Day resulted in Campos closing his gap by 1.3 percent in his loss to Chiu.
"When the returns came in Campos moved up by 1.3 percent. 1.3 won't be enough. Will it more than that? Will it be less than that?" Latterman said.
Chiu's campaign manager, Nicole Derse, said the race is "just too close" to call. "There's a lot of ballots. We need to wait."
More @ SF Examiner
South Bay Races Still Unsettled As Well: San Jose Mayor 17th Congressional via Mercury News
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